October 31

Full rules

As written on Polymarket for “Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?”.

1. §1This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
2. §2Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
3. §3An official pledge by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
4. §4An agreement by Iran to surrender any amount of its enriched uranium stockpile will count.
5. §5To qualify, Iran must publicly agree that its enriched uranium stockpile, or any portion thereof, will be transferred, shipped, or placed under the custody or control of any entity outside of Iran and its influence, excluding non-state armed groups or Iranian-aligned organizations (such as Hezbollah, the Houthis, or similar actors).
6. §6Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
7. §7An agreement by Iran to surrender its enriched uranium stockpile as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.