Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Enriched Uranium Transfer to US · 3 events · $711K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 22,460 | 95.7¢ | $22.3K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 8,619 | 96.8¢ | $8.58K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 785 bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 7,165 | 98.0¢ | $7.13K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| 0x2c79…e0aa | No | 2,903 | 97.7¢ | $2.89K | Proven+$2.22 per $100 · 218 bets |
| prophet-spaces0x2dd2…d5d8 | No | 823 | 99.2¢ | $819 | New83 settled bets |
| Wowiwow0xe54b…aa14 | No | 519 | 96.2¢ | $517 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 291 | 97.9¢ | $289 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| GeneralBurek0x8ce8…fa08 | No | 206 | 96.9¢ | $205 | — |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | No | 200 | 94.0¢ | $199 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| homaki0x2298…9f33 | No | 187 | 93.1¢ | $186 | — |
| kfgedswda0xfb37…95ac | No | 104 | 98.2¢ | $103 | — |
| zdaadsgfa90x9cb5…dc20 | No | 101 | 99.4¢ | $100 | — |
| khkjhbiuh0x0f02…b38c | No | 83 | 99.1¢ | $82 | — |
| ftrrewu0xd7cd…b289 | No | 75 | 99.0¢ | $74 | — |
| PConsensus0x92a3…cf0a | No | 73 | 96.2¢ | $72 | — |
| rvfsd3t4dv0x5f8a…e546 | No | 70 | 99.4¢ | $70 | — |
| 0x74b4…6bea | No | 70 | 95.9¢ | $69 | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 411 bets |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 13,330 | 0.4¢ | $67 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| dddddikaprio0xafa2…d8af | No | 58 | 97.8¢ | $58 | — |
| precogcybercrim0x0ce6…67ad | No | 56 | 94.0¢ | $56 | — |
| morgannn980x4c3c…946c | No | 56 | 96.1¢ | $55 | — |
| bgf7890x29d7…97a7 | No | 53 | 99.2¢ | $53 | — |
| UniPoony0x3f13…3345 | No | 52 | 95.3¢ | $52 | New67 settled bets |
| nefed980xc0e8…3305 | No | 50 | 97.8¢ | $50 | — |
| 5dcheckmate0x2cd1…ab90 | No | 48 | 96.1¢ | $48 | — |
| 0xa2ee…b470 | No | 34 | 98.9¢ | $34 | — |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 6,454 | 8.0¢ | $32 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | No | 28 | 98.0¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 3,585 bets |
| Ddggg0x5243…1aa6 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $25 | — |
| 2qZCcUat1aO6J0x1904…e75e | No | 25 | 97.6¢ | $25 | New42 settled bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 20 | 96.5¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 20 | 97.8¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | No | 15 | 96.8¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xe605…ac5f | Yes | 2,738 | 3.9¢ | $14 | — |
| rubion0xd555…1679 | Yes | 2,280 | 3.1¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xb886…81b3 | Yes | 2,222 | 5.6¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 1,518 bets |
| bobofive0x140a…7ed4 | No | 11 | 95.0¢ | $10 | — |
| sergiok140x4cc7…87bf | No | 10 | 98.3¢ | $10 | — |
| mystery0x323d…781c | No | 10 | 99.6¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.80 per $100 · 680 bets |
| NellyDora0xca97…5409 | No | 10 | 97.8¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 1,328 bets |
| cbvxc0x40e6…d304 | No | 8 | 96.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x3b02…8edb | No | 8 | 96.3¢ | $8 | — |
| ruff2110xd2ab…bb78 | No | 8 | 96.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x34e2…9560 | No | 8 | 96.2¢ | $8 | — |
| jupiteronline330x72d9…d1e4 | No | 8 | 96.3¢ | $8 | — |
| hhhhjjjj0x63bf…26c2 | No | 8 | 96.3¢ | $8 | — |
| ijhucqwoqwuvcyb0x7f49…52cf | No | 8 | 96.2¢ | $8 | — |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | Yes | 1,500 | 3.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| doododou0x338a…aa0c | No | 7 | 96.2¢ | $7 | — |
| gwerst0x635d…c20c | No | 7 | 96.3¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x680a…db92 | No | 7 | 96.4¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x7885…0130 | No | 7 | 96.3¢ | $7 | — |
| buyermontion0xe254…98d0 | No | 6 | 96.3¢ | $6 | — |
| mmmwaterfy0x1aeb…745d | No | 6 | 96.4¢ | $6 | — |
| kkiuytr446541565450xe66f…a986 | No | 5 | 96.4¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xcb6c…683b | No | 5 | 96.2¢ | $5 | — |
| ronaldburgerking0x5f30…9e9e | Yes | 1,000 | 3.4¢ | $5 | — |
| dontshowmyname0x0c97…1b68 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 1,857 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 962 | 1.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 943 | 1.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 878 | 2.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 708 | 2.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| 0x1a59…ca6e | Yes | 694 | 1.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 600 | 5.4¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| Tanjiro.Kamado0x9d77…cf31 | Yes | 472 | 2.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Kisher0x7be4…8477 | Yes | 400 | 0.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.50 per $100 · 1,984 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 397 | 6.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 322 | 4.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 316 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 298 bets |
| tuhkjqlwtjilqjkw0xd3e5…17ee | Yes | 300 | 3.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 7183050xbd47…dfc0 | Yes | 261 | 1.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x9d59…928e | Yes | 250 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x279c…2b82 | Yes | 250 | 7.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 239 | 3.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| RobertCZ0xa0bb…2a16 | Yes | 200 | 7.0¢ | $1 | — |
| vortl0xef9f…8924 | Yes | 200 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.42 per $100 · 564 bets |
| 0xae1e…90e5 | Yes | 200 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| wavesinthesky0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | 135 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 4,481 bets |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| guladdin0xdf1d…0171 | Yes | 83 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | Yes | 57 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.27 per $100 · 2,058 bets |
| 0xa58c…fb74 | Yes | 37 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| ShadowKnight30x5f90…7e27 | Yes | 32 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xef69…b773 | Yes | 28 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x56f2…d9e9 | Yes | 28 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| somejhhiuyggyu0x9f88…bcb4 | Yes | 27 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4451…c5df | Yes | 26 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e6f…aea8 | Yes | 26 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 20 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| borat1230x4ef5…19fb | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1b77…f758 | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gridfisk0x8afd…1f65 | Yes | 15 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 5 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 0 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
| LS-ship0xb141…aa3b | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.