Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:49 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAPAPORRA0xa3f0…5cd7 | No | 45 | 90.0¢ | $40 | — |
| xiang77880x95f4…2701 | No | 15 | 91.4¢ | $13 | — |
| AndDan0x2fe2…ec56 | No | 9 | 91.4¢ | $8 | — |
| moonshottt0xc784…4802 | No | 5 | 90.5¢ | $4 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 4 | 78.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| tetriary0x6fb4…76e9 | Yes | 24 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 11 outcomes add up to 103.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.