Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 87 | 97.9¢ | $85 | — |
| VAPAPORRA0xa3f0…5cd7 | No | 45 | 90.0¢ | $44 | — |
| melonfisher0x62fc…d8cc | No | 21 | 96.2¢ | $21 | — |
| xiang77880x95f4…2701 | No | 15 | 91.4¢ | $15 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 15 | 98.3¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,988 bets |
| LJW10xbef5…1d04 | No | 10 | 91.4¢ | $10 | — |
| AndDan0x2fe2…ec56 | No | 9 | 91.4¢ | $9 | — |
| moonshottt0xc784…4802 | No | 5 | 90.5¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 4 | 78.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x546a…1988 | No | 2 | 91.4¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.15 per $100 · 42,787+ bets · updating |
| 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | 141 | 9.1¢ | $2 | — |
| cooldown0070x566d…dccf | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xSPBB0x29a5…a3c4 | Yes | 71 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 68 | 8.7¢ | $1 | — |
| tetriary0x6fb4…76e9 | Yes | 67 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| antoniosporano0xcd15…b352 | Yes | 52 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2706…c6be | Yes | 50 | 2.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xace0…9c90 | Yes | 35 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| pintest30x07f1…73e8 | Yes | 30 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Smallbet80x6eb4…d18e | Yes | 29 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wolfprkm-10xd394…7e90 | Yes | 24 | 2.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 20 | 8.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 17 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| m7dk20xf73b…10bf | Yes | 14 | 13.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa568…bd84 | Yes | 14 | 22.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x55ca…ee94 | Yes | 14 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 11 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| habash20x056f…36fa | Yes | 11 | 11.5¢ | $0 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 7 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| testfor10x0400…f278 | Yes | 6 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| v7H0x17e3…6320 | Yes | 6 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| t3u0x2836…c0b1 | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11310x4290…c8c0 | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11030x99e6…3dbe | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DapperBlade52040xa15b…c4de | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11290xcff4…cab0 | Yes | 6 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | 5 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 3 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.