Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 102.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 463 | 34.3¢ | $162 | Proven+$13.09 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 215 | 67.9¢ | $140 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 |
| No |
| 92 |
| 66.9¢ |
| $60 |
| Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 78 | 65.1¢ | $51 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 63 | 67.2¢ | $41 | — |
| yrnmv0xcc37…afb6 | No | 50 | 65.0¢ | $33 | — |