Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 212 | 67.9¢ | $163 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 352 | 34.3¢ | $81 | Proven+$13.09 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| JokerTheClown0x819d…07f1 | No | 90 | 66.2¢ | $70 | Proven+$23.82 per $100 · 12,229 bets |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 78 | 65.1¢ | $60 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 63 | 67.2¢ | $49 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| yrnmv0xcc37…afb6 | No | 50 | 65.0¢ | $39 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 41 | 61.4¢ | $32 | — |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 30 | 65.0¢ | $23 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | No | 21 | 64.2¢ | $16 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 18 | 69.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| malimd0xdfa6…66ff | No | 16 | 64.2¢ | $12 | — |
| physical-geographer0x957a…d6a6 | No | 15 | 66.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | 42 | 34.6¢ | $10 | — |
| Ronenamar50x84b2…7f85 | No | 12 | 69.1¢ | $9 | — |
| OutOfMemory0x5bae…ed25 | No | 11 | 61.2¢ | $9 | — |
| melonfisher0x62fc…d8cc | No | 10 | 76.9¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | No | 10 | 70.3¢ | $8 | — |
| trademaster40000x5936…c2d6 | Yes | 32 | 34.5¢ | $7 | — |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | Yes | 31 | 28.0¢ | $7 | — |
| hgr10xab89…98e0 | Yes | 29 | 35.1¢ | $7 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 8 | 66.5¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| Mikhail20260x4193…f60b | Yes | 25 | 40.0¢ | $6 | — |
| d089580x01e5…49a3 | No | 7 | 62.2¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xcaf5…41ab | Yes | 22 | 39.2¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 21 | 28.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.0x29ed…a8da | Yes | 21 | 28.2¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.37 per $100 · 13,656 bets |
| Rupertuz0xfe2b…a481 | No | 6 | 77.9¢ | $5 | — |
| PechaArt0x3fc8…66a1 | Yes | 20 | 29.0¢ | $5 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | Yes | 20 | 28.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| drewid0xfe6e…2313 | Yes | 20 | 29.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | No | 6 | 61.2¢ | $4 | — |
| asd560xda65…e87e | Yes | 18 | 37.0¢ | $4 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 17 | 29.7¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| KingSport330x0d79…0856 | No | 5 | 69.1¢ | $4 | — |
| mrwolfandsheep0x16fa…8c03 | No | 5 | 72.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Kaido777taken0xa599…affe | Yes | 16 | 39.6¢ | $4 | — |
| philosophy80x2890…49eb | Yes | 16 | 32.8¢ | $4 | — |
| kerbrerv0xfb65…2dfc | Yes | 15 | 42.2¢ | $3 | — |
| ab0033170xbe3f…1fbb | Yes | 13 | 29.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AuspiciousWolf0x0e0e…2d75 | No | 4 | 72.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 13 | 36.6¢ | $3 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | 13 | 31.9¢ | $3 | — |
| TheReD-010x2c5a…9b2d | Yes | 13 | 41.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Laptev19850x4644…9433 | Yes | 13 | 39.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3cef…23e0 | Yes | 12 | 34.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xde13…c2ca | No | 3 | 74.0¢ | $3 | — |
| thunderfrog0x5a1a…2983 | Yes | 11 | 35.1¢ | $2 | — |
| Kaos440x325f…2c81 | Yes | 8 | 39.6¢ | $2 | — |
| BullishBlizzard0x43bd…beda | No | 2 | 74.7¢ | $2 | — |
| ClutchCapital0xe138…66c9 | Yes | 7 | 35.5¢ | $2 | — |
| SHWABRA0xb798…37ca | No | 2 | 68.1¢ | $1 | — |
| BIGASS20x07a8…5d73 | No | 2 | 63.2¢ | $1 | — |
| fedesgozz0xf33c…6123 | Yes | 5 | 39.6¢ | $1 | — |
| jianghai010x3738…ed32 | Yes | 5 | 40.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 5 | 29.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | Yes | 4 | 38.2¢ | $1 | — |
| goosen8or0xf4d8…4c91 | Yes | 4 | 36.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 3 | 9.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc824…5e0b | No | 1 | 65.8¢ | $1 | — |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 3 | 35.5¢ | $1 | — |
| SoW-yiyi0xd1b0…7efc | Yes | 3 | 35.1¢ | $1 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 2 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | Yes | 1 | 35.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 1 | 37.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.