Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 103.5¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 79 | 97.7¢ | $76 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 29 | 93.9¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x74d9…7d42 | No | 20 | 96.0¢ | $19 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,500 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 20 | 98.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 354 | 9.1¢ | $14 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.