Market · 8 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ccccq0xcf2d…92ea | No | 164 | 99.9¢ | $164 | — |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | No | 79 | 97.7¢ | $79 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 50 |
| 99.8¢ |
| $50 |
| — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 40 | 93.9¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 7 | 93.2¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| CHAIN-19930x914b…e406 | No | 6 | 95.2¢ | $6 | — |
| yolin80x0380…fefc | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| PeruvianMenacy0x917e…76cb | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 354 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | 224 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 131 | 5.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1024…831a | Yes | 103 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| FuvahBot0x843d…89bc | Yes | 80 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xab53…b60a | Yes | 80 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| DailyTodo0x32c0…e76a | Yes | 50 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 48 | 2.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Fate-Caster0xee88…88aa | Yes | 48 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
| RiskyMoolah0x8da3…c418 | Yes | 40 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe229…8e18 | Yes | 34 | 6.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 32 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| 0x55ca…ee94 | Yes | 29 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| oneMM0xf740…d999 | Yes | 25 | 1.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Enso850x8cb5…5c40 | Yes | 25 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xb552…b70c | Yes | 20 | 10.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.82 per $100 · 7,306 bets |
| awj880xbae0…6278 | Yes | 20 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| bhuumi0x937b…bfab | Yes | 17 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| just-for-w0x831d…3893 | Yes | 15 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| wolfprkm-10xd394…7e90 | Yes | 12 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 12 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,932 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 11 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| danny420690x74d9…7d42 | Yes | 10 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ttj010x29ab…6c4d | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11290xcff4…cab0 | Yes | 6 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ShipOfPetr0x15c5…4692 | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| kimochi.880x9fba…3adc | Yes | 5 | 4.2¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.69 per $100 · 57,770 bets |
| god837438940xe040…824f | Yes | 3 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 2 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| antoniosporano0xcd15…b352 | Yes | 0 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Smallbet80x6eb4…d18e | Yes | 0 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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