Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 103.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 156 | 84.0¢ | $128 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | Yes | 321 | 16.2¢ | $58 | — |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 41 | 85.0¢ | $34 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | No | 27 | 87.0¢ | $22 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 25 | 85.9¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 85.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.