Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hfv0xe102…71df | No | 156 | 84.0¢ | $116 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | Yes | 321 | 16.2¢ | $84 | — |
| AMAM130x52eb…67ac | No | 51 | 78.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$5.46 per $100 · 31,074 bets |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | No | 41 | 85.0¢ | $30 | — |
| 0x5670x6b4a…3647 | No | 40 | 82.0¢ | $30 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 39 | 83.0¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | No | 27 | 87.0¢ | $20 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 63 | 22.9¢ | $16 | Proven+$13.09 per $100 · 2,215 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | No | 20 | 85.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$4.17 per $100 · 8,350 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 19 | 89.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| physical-geographer0x957a…d6a6 | No | 15 | 77.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 37 | 13.3¢ | $10 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 12 | 85.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x2706…c6be | No | 11 | 82.3¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x65f7…8b98 | Yes | 28 | 11.2¢ | $7 | — |
| 5a82666suyuchen0x7076…d0d9 | Yes | 27 | 21.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x4e45…fb2c | Yes | 19 | 11.5¢ | $5 | — |
| zcxczxcxzczxczxczczxczczxczczxc0x2868…97f8 | Yes | 16 | 12.5¢ | $4 | — |
| risto-test10xca84…6f8d | Yes | 10 | 23.9¢ | $3 | — |
| ClutchCapital0xe138…66c9 | Yes | 8 | 26.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 6 | 9.5¢ | $2 | — |
| KingSport330x0d79…0856 | Yes | 5 | 20.8¢ | $1 | — |
| yueyueyn0xb87f…f7d4 | Yes | 4 | 23.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | Yes | 4 | 23.9¢ | $1 | — |
| mrwolfandsheep0x16fa…8c03 | Yes | 3 | 22.0¢ | $1 | — |
| dinolooser0x6199…a04b | Yes | 2 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.