Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:03 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| melee-rocket0x6c30…ba88 | No | 100 | 96.2¢ | $93 | — |
| castbot0x3eca…b1ab | No | 59 | 97.0¢ | $55 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 49 | 93.3¢ | $45 | — |
| frogcast0x31af…5c86 | No | 31 | 96.2¢ | $29 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 391 | 9.1¢ | $27 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| ghiwnp5387120x1e1a…ff36 | No | 24 | 94.1¢ | $22 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 11 outcomes add up to 97.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.