Market · 7 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd934…60a0 | No | 20 | 99.7¢ | $20 | — |
| simonion0xd2d7…f60c | No | 13 | 99.8¢ | $13 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 12 | 95.2¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| weatherBear0x47e9…732c | No | 10 | 99.7¢ | $10 | — |
| asNUO0xebf7…aa53 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| tommy8510xe31b…614a | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 11 outcomes add up to 102.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.