Market · 6 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C or higher on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 97.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9b62…042f | No | 10 | 99.0¢ | $10 | — |
| MartinArgentina0xb038…074b | No | 3 | 99.0¢ | $3 | — |
| weather-highest-strangle-excel0xe812…e44c | No | 3 | 99.7¢ | $3 | — |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 391 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| weather-highest-strangle0xbe79…508b | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| PythiaWPD0xdd7a…7bfb | Yes | 36 | 1.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.