Market · 10 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
These 11 outcomes add up to 102.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1DVSBSTD0xeb1d…59b0 | No | 63 | 99.9¢ | $63 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 30,009+ bets · updating |
| zhangca0xc73f…ff79 | No | 50 | 99.9¢ | $50 | — |
| guapii0xae79…5322 | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| asNUO0xebf7…aa53 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xaf87…b064 | No | 6 | 99.9¢ | $6 | — |
| weather-highest-strangle-excel0xe812…e44c | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.