Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 13?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| melee-rocket0x6c30…ba88 | No | 100 | 96.2¢ | $94 | — |
| ghiwnp5387120x1e1a…ff36 | No | 62 | 93.8¢ | $59 | — |
| castbot0x3eca…b1ab | No | 59 | 97.0¢ | $56 | — |
| arehovbrow0xb209…ad88 | No | 49 | 93.3¢ | $46 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 44 | 93.7¢ | $42 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| hello.670x2e3e…0f92 | Yes | 575 | 9.1¢ | $35 | Proven+$12.86 per $100 · 2,699 bets |
| psyslo0x5f21…b1d2 | No | 32 | 93.0¢ | $30 | — |
| frogcast0x31af…5c86 | No | 31 | 96.2¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x1753…cafd | No | 30 | 92.0¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xeb1b…87c0 | Yes | 382 | 9.1¢ | $23 | — |
| newbie1470x7353…b6c5 | No | 21 | 94.3¢ | $20 | — |
| wheathershredder0xa859…c8f3 | No | 20 | 94.3¢ | $19 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 18 | 90.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 17 | 93.1¢ | $16 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 14 | 95.2¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,644+ bets · updating |
| vestie0x5ad8…fb71 | No | 11 | 96.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x8b6e…3f28 | No | 10 | 97.2¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x9b62…042f | No | 10 | 96.2¢ | $9 | — |
| egresh202609150xc156…f2d1 | No | 10 | 90.0¢ | $9 | — |
| ELORADO0xde82…0a19 | No | 10 | 96.2¢ | $9 | — |
| tetriary0x6fb4…76e9 | Yes | 150 | 4.0¢ | $9 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 10 | 92.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 60,365+ bets · updating |
| tuntuntuntuntuntunsahur0x0bd4…f2fe | Yes | 144 | 9.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 2415325324320xce0b…b974 | No | 7 | 92.5¢ | $7 | — |
| MM93MAIN0xcada…df46 | No | 7 | 96.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Dimik0x533b…aca9 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x005e…6d8e | No | 5 | 95.2¢ | $5 | — |
| BroderT0xa2c3…7e15 | No | 5 | 96.2¢ | $5 | — |
| cityevents0x1ca4…6aa2 | Yes | 46 | 8.4¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa568…bd84 | Yes | 43 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x0bb7…836b | No | 2 | 96.2¢ | $2 | — |
| kostyankr20xd91e…bf1d | No | 2 | 96.2¢ | $2 | — |
| tu32plweather0x7390…48ed | Yes | 30 | 7.1¢ | $2 | — |
| nexttwo0x1096…a162 | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Bambusbunker0x0d10…a713 | Yes | 20 | 5.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x55ca…ee94 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| habash20x056f…36fa | Yes | 20 | 7.2¢ | $1 | — |
| wolfprkm-10xd394…7e90 | Yes | 18 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa776…b949 | Yes | 18 | 6.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x27d7…ddc7 | Yes | 17 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7844…9fa9 | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Smallbet80x6eb4…d18e | Yes | 16 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x3548…5e51 | Yes | 15 | 7.1¢ | $1 | — |
| chasinbands0x496d…a2f2 | Yes | 13 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2706…c6be | Yes | 12 | 5.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd66d…0884 | Yes | 12 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | 11 | 8.1¢ | $1 | — |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 10 | 7.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| t3u0x2836…c0b1 | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11310x4290…c8c0 | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DapperBlade52040xa15b…c4de | Yes | 6 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| stephaneau0xc0cf…4f1b | Yes | 6 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| zhengxm11030x99e6…3dbe | Yes | 5 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NHHDTX0xf0cd…e05f | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 4 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Alcaraz20260x0172…4e84 | Yes | 4 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2517…a3b6 | Yes | 2 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| antoniosporano0xcd15…b352 | Yes | 1 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pintest30x07f1…73e8 | Yes | 0 | 3.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.