Market · 22 of 22 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| clggzz0x94c6…7a14 | No | 1,296 | 99.1¢ | $1.29K | — |
| jinitaime0xf922…9e41 | No | 1,146 | 99.9¢ | $1.15K | — |
| useeew0xf726…f130 | No | 1,073 | 99.9¢ | $1.07K | — |
| minutemans0xc65f…5333 | No | 864 | 99.7¢ | $863 | — |
| himmjj0x2394…df5a | No | 853 | 99.7¢ | $853 | — |
| zhacaie0x0b03…32b8 | No | 823 | 99.7¢ | $822 | — |
| yaxian0x3b8a…9462 | No | 757 | 99.7¢ | $757 | — |
| gdesss10x57e9…6c9b | No | 757 | 99.7¢ | $757 | — |
| upop0xa272…8763 | No | 678 | 99.7¢ | $678 | — |
| jayeed0x3bb9…0fe4 | No | 667 | 99.9¢ | $667 | — |
| Choose220x0c44…5be4 | No | 656 | 99.7¢ | $655 | — |
| zhacsi0xe502…f69a | No | 565 | 99.7¢ | $565 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | No | 292 | 99.9¢ | $292 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 120 | 99.5¢ | $120 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| FuturesTrade0x0951…43da | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| guilgui0xffb1…6fba | No | 61 | 99.7¢ | $61 | — |
| andy680xcdc4…0bdb | No | 29 | 99.8¢ | $29 | — |
| dalong120xa3a6…ac15 | No | 24 | 99.8¢ | $24 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 13 | 99.6¢ | $13 | — |
| sinziana0xb19e…b8d5 | No | 10 | 99.7¢ | $10 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 12,016 | 3.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 10,707 | 0.9¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| mqpcd0x0503…0743 | Yes | 8,681 | 0.5¢ | $4 | — |
| mktestmm0x5904…940f | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Lijiang110x6cca…65ca | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Brotherinchrist0x6be9…3493 | Yes | 5,723 | 0.4¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 2,938 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 5,405 | 3.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 4,961 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| ihrekunst0xc5e8…8354 | Yes | 3,092 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 2,000 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 22,145 bets |
| MailAJ-Long-Term0xda4d…c8ee | Yes | 1,400 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Romeo0050x146d…17c7 | Yes | 1,068 | 0.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 736 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Melao0x48a3…bfec | Yes | 520 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Greedtookover0x3fcc…5c9b | Yes | 500 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| TP19950xc575…38fd | Yes | 500 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 461 | 1.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 400 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| roadto10kandthen100k0xe9ec…8756 | Yes | 400 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 362 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 317 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 310 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bibbi0x5312…9e9b | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 289 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| 0x6e60…9e3f | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| aEpTcH7MFw0xe52c…9dcb | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Roadto1Billion0x60b0…4a62 | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 177 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa986…30f6 | Yes | 120 | 3.9¢ | $0 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 100 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Qatalyst0x65f7…86dd | Yes | 100 | 3.8¢ | $0 | — |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | Yes | 100 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| redstar19870x9ffa…c8fc | Yes | 100 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 2,922 bets |
| 0x9ce3…84b8 | Yes | 82 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 58 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 50 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| TheGreatBeta0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | 50 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 26 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 11 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.83 per $100 · 36,123+ bets · updating |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | 6 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x96e00x96e0…b648 | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $717K in play
Exactly one of this event's 22 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.