Market · 1 of 11 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:09 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 90 overlapping windows · 9 events · $718K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 6,774 | 7.6¢ | $3.49K | — |
| 0x2ef2…7f72 | Yes | 6,555 | 2.0¢ | $3.37K | — |
| dddtrips0x8565…0c43 | Yes | 6,000 | 31.0¢ | $3.09K | — |
| kaisersozee0x9333…9126 | Yes | 5,577 | 47.3¢ | $2.87K | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 5,001 | 4.0¢ | $2.57K | — |
| LinaBell🦊0x8eab…a56d | Yes | 5,000 | 1.6¢ | $2.57K | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 4,032 bets |
| sebyastiens0xbc62…4f5e | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $2.57K | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 4,767 | 6.9¢ | $2.45K | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 7,262 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,851 | 4.1¢ | $1.98K | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 3,535 | 6.3¢ | $1.82K | — |
| hirichzhou0x71f7…2e2e | Yes | 3,003 | 4.0¢ | $1.55K | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 3.8¢ | $1.54K | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 2,645 | 12.5¢ | $1.36K | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 2,218 bets |
| hulitest20250xe559…1300 | Yes | 2,482 | 4.0¢ | $1.28K | — |
| MilkTeaa0xd3ce…b432 | Yes | 2,457 | 3.6¢ | $1.26K | — |
| Gustav4-10x1396…3ae6 | No | 2,571 | 66.2¢ | $1.25K | — |
| AM96910xc959…c37f | Yes | 2,378 | 22.4¢ | $1.22K | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.1¢ | $1.03K | — |
| 0x0df4…c7cb | No | 2,108 | 72.7¢ | $1.02K | — |
| triple-purple0x038b…afc4 | Yes | 1,943 | 26.7¢ | $1K | — |
| HappyPumba0xfee1…746f | Yes | 1,806 | 16.2¢ | $929 | — |
| sjoerdvdmack0xe53d…146c | Yes | 1,623 | 12.2¢ | $835 | — |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 1,598 | 65.7¢ | $776 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 1,370 | 19.5¢ | $705 | — |
| Tagan10x9c29…8c43 | Yes | 1,121 | 18.6¢ | $577 | — |
| patouossa0x4262…0ef2 | Yes | 1,037 | 35.8¢ | $534 | — |
| LazyWanker0xbac4…1ab2 | Yes | 1,000 | 27.0¢ | $515 | — |
| ElonJail0xb831…892b | Yes | 928 | 5.6¢ | $478 | — |
| mcsg0x4d3d…5047 | Yes | 840 | 13.0¢ | $432 | — |
| Mr-Lucker0xaee7…37fe | Yes | 800 | 27.3¢ | $412 | — |
| 0x4e1c…3106 | Yes | 800 | 35.0¢ | $412 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 778 | 21.2¢ | $400 | — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 760 | 17.6¢ | $391 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 790 | 64.5¢ | $384 | — |
| Ecnanif0x2a79…e2af | Yes | 694 | 7.3¢ | $357 | — |
| Lastworld130x0c18…a04c | Yes | 677 | 24.4¢ | $348 | Losing−$20.23 per $100 · 426 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 700 | 75.2¢ | $340 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 8,496 bets |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 686 | 68.1¢ | $333 | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 6,842 bets |
| ChunkyMonky0x8f66…b986 | Yes | 642 | 18.4¢ | $330 | — |
| niceShare0x97ff…d095 | No | 637 | 70.3¢ | $309 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 478 | 16.3¢ | $246 | — |
| rockat0x699b…0296 | Yes | 462 | 16.2¢ | $238 | — |
| 212octopus0xbf8e…2f94 | Yes | 453 | 3.6¢ | $233 | — |
| MarsBABY0xeb6d…2294 | Yes | 427 | 17.3¢ | $220 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 447 | 63.2¢ | $217 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| OsvaldoMarianao270xf939…43e1 | Yes | 419 | 37.0¢ | $215 | — |
| Panopticon0070x07cf…a9fa | Yes | 401 | 18.6¢ | $206 | Proven+$3.77 per $100 · 1,870 bets |
| Papuasus0x9034…4375 | Yes | 400 | 13.2¢ | $206 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 399 | 21.3¢ | $205 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| 123mohan0x3758…5c70 | Yes | 373 | 9.9¢ | $192 | — |
| 0x90d7…5cb7 | Yes | 350 | 4.2¢ | $180 | — |
| jfefgsgsw0x0b4e…f5e1 | No | 369 | 86.2¢ | $179 | — |
| OstapP0x8007…a8f4 | Yes | 300 | 29.3¢ | $154 | — |
| 0xf452…8ff9 | Yes | 300 | 37.3¢ | $154 | — |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | No | 315 | 69.4¢ | $153 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 18,243 bets |
| Mintbaby0xacfe…b2fa | Yes | 294 | 36.4¢ | $151 | — |
| Mommy0070xdc36…8542 | Yes | 288 | 24.8¢ | $148 | — |
| YZ500W0xaabb…daf3 | Yes | 285 | 36.2¢ | $147 | — |
| AccountUsername0x2c6c…5013 | No | 237 | 64.5¢ | $115 | — |
| belsand20x8845…360e | No | 200 | 80.5¢ | $97 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 172 | 69.5¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| anon2648110xae34…3a8a | No | 136 | 73.8¢ | $66 | — |
| MiamMiam0xd3b8…5a0f | No | 119 | 60.3¢ | $58 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 110 | 61.7¢ | $53 | — |
| edgewarehouse0x7eeb…b6bd | No | 104 | 49.9¢ | $51 | — |
| 0xb5a0…fb10 | No | 100 | 78.5¢ | $49 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 98 | 64.2¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 93 | 51.7¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| saragus0xf4d5…66e1 | No | 90 | 69.3¢ | $44 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 88 | 63.2¢ | $43 | — |
| MOCKBA0x75e0…5c67 | No | 88 | 82.1¢ | $43 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | No | 81 | 71.3¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| liq20x3423…fe57 | No | 75 | 51.1¢ | $36 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | No | 67 | 56.9¢ | $33 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | No | 63 | 54.7¢ | $30 | — |
| svandoorne0x692b…c1f8 | No | 61 | 65.1¢ | $30 | — |
| petrstein0x12e6…d6cd | No | 60 | 80.9¢ | $29 | — |
| CampruCali0x0404…4719 | No | 52 | 97.1¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 5,334 bets |
| jooker20260x276a…d445 | No | 50 | 74.0¢ | $24 | — |
| defiance-cr0xb84c…e169 | No | 50 | 88.8¢ | $24 | — |
| GorillaTrade0x5553…5111 | No | 48 | 57.3¢ | $23 | — |
| JoyL0x0862…9a02 | No | 40 | 71.6¢ | $19 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 38 | 51.4¢ | $18 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,521 bets |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 32 | 59.9¢ | $16 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 63.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 27 | 63.3¢ | $13 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| 0xffae…5c98 | No | 24 | 62.9¢ | $12 | — |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | No | 22 | 65.6¢ | $11 | — |
| bahn-cuon-baby0x5cdc…1f6b | No | 21 | 97.1¢ | $10 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 20 | 66.9¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 123,024+ bets · updating |
| R-770x2d62…0a41 | No | 20 | 74.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.66 per $100 · 1,500 bets |
| 0xc883…4ea1 | No | 20 | 76.9¢ | $10 | — |
| Poligarch0xb40e…7cc9 | No | 15 | 70.3¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 33,871+ bets · updating |
| geylord200x5937…11da | No | 14 | 72.7¢ | $7 | New78 settled bets |
| swd20260xa124…6816 | No | 13 | 80.4¢ | $6 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 13 | 67.3¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 139 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.