Market · 10 of 13 outcomes
Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lamyk0xc004…c095 | No | 458 | 82.9¢ | $446 | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 288 | 92.0¢ | $281 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Dr.mett0xe0dc…3944 | No | 82 | 79.4¢ | $80 | — |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | No | 60 | 72.8¢ | $59 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| 0xeae7…8e9e | No | 11 | 94.2¢ | $10 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 10 | 92.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 350 | 7.9¢ | $9 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| trader-0eec4a7f0x0eec…e587 | No | 6 | 75.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 106 | 19.0¢ | $3 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 2 | 85.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| gfdgfvfvssdd0x84bb…1477 | Yes | 80 | 19.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 64 | 25.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 56 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 51 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 35 | 14.4¢ | $1 | — |
| gaaaydoggggg0x486c…6799 | Yes | 30 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 21 | 22.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 20 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 20 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 20 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| bechamel0xd322…8503 | Yes | 20 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 11 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 3,362 bets |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 5 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.69 per $100 · 14,475 bets |
| 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | 5 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$15.40 per $100 · 4,590 bets |
| chessplayer0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | 2 | 22.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.12 per $100 · 12,743 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 2 | 19.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 106 events · $6.1M in play