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Topic · Macro
16 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.0% of Polymarket
Events · markets
3 · 16
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Jan 28
in 108 days
Proven traders lean No change · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No change | $13.0K | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:52 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| No on 25 bps increase |
| $5.5K |
| Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| CDAP10xe033…40a5 | 25 bps increase | $3.5K | New40 bets |
| 0xdc3E831cad0x5ecd…0787 | No on 4+ · How many dissent at the January Fed meeting | $2.2K | Positive+$2.43 per $100 · 5,618 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No on 25 bps increase | $2.1K | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,304 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No change | $2.0K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | 25 bps increase | $1.7K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | No change | $1.7K | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| 0x5b91…2709 | No change | $1.7K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 1,151 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No on Pause-Hike-Hike | $1.7K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | No change | $1.6K | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | 25 bps increase | $1.4K | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | 25 bps increase | $1.3K | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | No on No change | $1.2K | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| Gigachain16220x976a…e8ec | 25 bps increase | $1.1K | – |
| browne0xbf96…9942 | Pause-Hike-Pause | $1.1K | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 304 bets |
| mohitshah99200x6b2e…b2fa | 25 bps increase | $1.1K | New52 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No on 25 bps increase | $1.0K | Proven+$7.03 per $100 · 1,581 bets |
| whumpa0xe000…cbb1 | No on 25 bps increase | $1.0K | – |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Pause-Hike-Pause | $849 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| alpheclabs0xb4d2…ce99 | No on 25 bps increase | $688 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 66,345 bets |
| pmcb0xa569…96ec | No change | $655 | New60 bets |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No on No change | $598 | Losing−$2.93 per $100 · 32,414 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | No on 3 · How many dissent at the January Fed meeting | $589 | Positive+$3.45 per $100 · 14,377 bets |
| 12398fg0xd6db…2f0d | 25 bps increase | $586 | – |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.