Fed decision · January 2027 · Polyray

Topic · Macro

Fed decision · January 2027

7 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.

Alert me when this moves

Money in play

0.0% of Polymarket

Events · markets

2 · 7

that win or lose together

Proven traders lean

2 of the 10 biggest bettors

Biggest event ends

Jan 28

in 109 days

Do the markets agree?

Only one outcome of each event can win, so their chances should add up to 100¢.

Outcome	Added up	Should be
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?	103.8¢	100.0¢

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?: its outcomes add up to 103.8¢, 3.8 points above 100¢.

US Fed rate pathMacro US 2028 presidential racePolitics US 2026 midtermsPolitics

Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:20 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.

Chance over time: 25 bps increaseFed Decision in January?. The biggest market on this topic, daily.

Chance over time: 25 bps increase
Date	Value
Jul 31	24.5¢
Aug 2	22.0¢
Aug 4	21.0¢
Aug 6	21.0¢
Aug 8	20.5¢
Aug 10	20.5¢
Aug 12	25.0¢
Aug 14	21.5¢
Aug 16	19.5¢
Aug 18	20.0¢
Aug 20	20.0¢
Aug 22	20.0¢
Aug 24	22.5¢
Aug 26	21.5¢
Aug 28	21.5¢
Aug 30	21.5¢
Sep 1	21.5¢
Sep 3	24.0¢
Sep 5	23.5¢
Sep 7	24.5¢
Sep 9	23.5¢
Sep 11	23.5¢
Sep 13	22.5¢
Sep 15	23.5¢
Sep 17	30.0¢
Sep 19	33.5¢
Sep 21	33.5¢
Sep 23	31.5¢
Sep 25	31.5¢
Sep 27	31.5¢
Sep 29	46.5¢
Oct 1	46.5¢
Oct 3	31.5¢
Oct 5	31.5¢
Oct 7	33.5¢
Oct 9	31.5¢
Oct 11	31.5¢
Oct 11	31.5¢