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Topic · Macro
15 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.2% of Polymarket
Events · markets
3 · 15
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
1 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest event ends
Dec 9
in 59 days
Proven traders lean 25 bps increase · 1 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 7 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| CDAP10xe033…40a5 | 25 bps increase | $206.2K | New40 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:22 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| 25 bps increase |
| $14.5K |
| Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| chriszyy30x052f…53fb | No on 50+ bps increase | $12.9K | Break-even+$0.96 per $100 · 297 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | No on Hike–Hike–Hike | $12.0K | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,831 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No on 25 bps increase | $9.8K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| 0x9ad5…1811 | No on No change | $9.2K | – |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | No change | $7.5K | Losing−$2.89 per $100 · 32,325 bets |
| BlessedSunshine8880x22da…2866 | No change | $6.7K | – |
| truthteller0x30e4…5102 | No change | $6.6K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 3,480 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No on 25 bps decrease | $5.4K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | 25 bps increase | $5.0K | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,033 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No on 50+ bps increase | $4.8K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Hike–Hike–Hike | $4.6K | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207 bets |
| KimJonEn0x8152…bfda | No change | $4.5K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 1,459 bets |
| 0xc20x37a6…6684 | 25 bps increase | $3.9K | – |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | 25 bps increase | $3.9K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| hippoka0xdd9c…31a0 | 25 bps increase | $3.7K | New77 bets |
| milkteaboba0xf4c9…f88c | No on Hike–Hike–Hike | $3.4K | New18 bets |
| 0x90bf…99eb | 25 bps increase | $3.0K | Losing−$14.61 per $100 · 861 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No change | $2.8K | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No on No change | $2.5K | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| pray1ng0xd44d…2ba9 | 50+ bps increase | $2.4K | – |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | No change | $2.4K | Losing−$9.18 per $100 · 190,902 bets |
| 0x49fb…3914 | 25 bps increase | $2.1K | – |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No change | $2.1K | Losing−$17.28 per $100 · 7,289 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.