Market · 8 of 21 outcomes
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 103.2¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 115 | 99.8¢ | $115 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 6,536 | 0.2¢ | $23 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Tony100x4274…ba73 | Yes | 1,261 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 935 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 702 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 650 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.