Market · 5 of 21 outcomes
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 115 | 99.9¢ | $114 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 5,805 | 0.3¢ | $75 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,713 | 0.2¢ | $48 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 1,351 | 0.4¢ | $18 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 904 | 2.9¢ | $12 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 767 | 2.7¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 103.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.