Market · 5 of 21 outcomes
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 115 | 99.9¢ | $114 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 5,805 | 0.3¢ | $75 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 3,713 | 0.2¢ | $48 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 1,351 | 0.4¢ | $18 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 904 | 2.9¢ | $12 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 767 | 2.7¢ | $10 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| mememememe0x7997…0b06 | No | 10 | 99.1¢ | $10 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 567 | 2.9¢ | $7 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 4 | 97.1¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Z91EX0x3f67…002d | Yes | 286 | 0.8¢ | $4 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 259 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 150 | 0.9¢ | $2 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 109 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 86 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 75 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 73 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| 0xd487…a674 | Yes | 39 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | 33 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 22 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 20 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 16 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 11 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 9 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 6 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 6 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 3 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.