Market · 7 of 21 outcomes
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:00 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 103.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 155 | 99.8¢ | $154 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 5,413 | 0.2¢ | $43 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 1,702 | 0.2¢ | $14 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1,399 | 0.2¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| Maitredeceremonie0x74b6…134b | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 970 | 2.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,641 bets |