Market · 7 of 21 outcomes
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 5,413 | 0.2¢ | $43 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| iutwpfal0xb89f…1c44 | Yes | 1,702 | 0.2¢ | $14 | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 1,531 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 1,399 | 0.2¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| Maitredeceremonie0x74b6…134b | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $8 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 970 | 2.9¢ | $8 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| BornAgain260x978e…80bc | Yes | 891 | 0.6¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 731 | 2.6¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| crypto-futur30x31cc…ea6b | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | New47 settled bets |
| Tony100x4274…ba73 | Yes | 598 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 567 | 2.9¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 4 | 99.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| F0ulplay0x3674…2fc6 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Wojtek0x07d4…8991 | Yes | 500 | 1.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$6.05 per $100 · 2,630 bets |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 278 | 0.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$13.28 per $100 · 8,633 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 259 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 109 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| SpringlyFawl0xfbed…a665 | Yes | 102 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.02 per $100 · 11,252 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 99 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 60 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 40 | 2.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 21 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 17 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 13 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 9 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 9 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| VonVonagh0xeace…38b9 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| 0xEC6AD6AEAA93940x9e83…9394 | Yes | 2 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.12 per $100 · 4,935 bets |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| em...well0x9797…2532 | Yes | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.02 per $100 · 7,995 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.