Market · 8 of 21 outcomes
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 115 | 99.8¢ | $115 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,477 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 6,536 | 0.2¢ | $23 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| Tony100x4274…ba73 | Yes | 1,261 | 0.3¢ | $4 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 935 | 2.9¢ | $3 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,694 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 702 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 650 | 2.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| AnimalEater0xa445…0286 | Yes | 636 | 0.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$58.33 per $100 · 566 bets |
| can1110x5cfd…ca1b | Yes | 570 | 1.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.04 per $100 · 666 bets |
| nova.super0x6c55…a595 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Maitredeceremonie0x74b6…134b | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Z91EX0x3f67…002d | Yes | 300 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 259 | 2.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 170 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.0x613b…da44 | Yes | 150 | 0.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$57.66 per $100 · 63,695+ bets · updating |
| 0x5533…51ba | Yes | 131 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 130 | 2.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 126 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 109 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| jensond0xa9b7…f43c | Yes | 107 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 50 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| .Menthe0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 47 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,634 bets |
| SulkingCrypto0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | 33 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0x9495…468f | Yes | 19 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.13 per $100 · 12,760 bets |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 4,881 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 10 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 9 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| em...well0x9797…2532 | Yes | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 1 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| 0xca75…0a64 | Yes | 1 | 2.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | Yes | 0 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-07171593452560x75cb…1556 | Yes | 0 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$81.10 per $100 · 22,268 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.