Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 15:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9152…69a5 | No | 1,345 | 89.2¢ | $1.23K | — |
| pravii-bereg0x166b…f785 | No | 1,134 | 91.0¢ | $1.04K | New3 settled bets |
| Mwhale0x9419…a40f | No | 957 | 88.0¢ | $876 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 523 bets |
| Ym777Ym0x66ca…532d | No | 750 | 91.0¢ | $686 | New23 settled bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 500 | 89.0¢ | $458 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Zumala0x82c7…f1f8 | Yes | 5,373 | 10.3¢ | $457 | New78 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.