Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GoriIIa0xfffa…864b | No | 206,581 | 90.9¢ | $200K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 414 bets |
| ololololololololo0x2c4c…cb39 | No | 88,888 | 86.0¢ | $86K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| boss7777770x30e5…1549 | No | 82,731 | 91.1¢ | $80K | New11 settled bets |
| OraculumNobius0xd25b…9f3d | No | 67,000 | 92.9¢ | $64.8K | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 26,314 bets |
| NeH0x11fc…dc48 | No | 65,977 | 88.5¢ | $63.8K | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 159 bets |
| aff30xe52c…6924 | No | 40,105 | 89.9¢ | $38.8K | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 274 bets |