Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9152…69a5 | No | 1,345 | 89.2¢ | $1.23K | — |
| pravii-bereg0x166b…f785 | No | 1,134 | 91.0¢ | $1.04K | New3 settled bets |
| Mwhale0x9419…a40f | No | 957 | 88.0¢ | $876 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 523 bets |
| Ym777Ym0x66ca…532d | No | 750 | 91.0¢ | $686 | New23 settled bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 500 | 89.0¢ | $458 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Zumala0x82c7…f1f8 | Yes | 5,373 | 10.3¢ | $457 | New78 settled bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 445 | 90.6¢ | $407 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,668 bets |
| 0xc5a2…9981 | No | 444 | 90.0¢ | $407 | New91 settled bets |
| Pavel850xf7f6…6b83 | No | 444 | 90.0¢ | $407 | New1 settled bet |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No | 300 | 90.0¢ | $275 | — |
| Bromley860x0b65…293e | No | 293 | 88.7¢ | $268 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,095 bets |
| 0x19bb…f0f5 | No | 163 | 89.4¢ | $149 | — |
| DmytroUA0xcdae…b512 | No | 144 | 91.0¢ | $131 | — |
| bobristiy0xe2d0…a4d3 | No | 112 | 89.0¢ | $103 | — |
| MrFranko0xf6b1…aaad | No | 109 | 92.0¢ | $99 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 91.0¢ | $92 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 71 | 90.0¢ | $65 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| rontro280x0330…eb8f | Yes | 600 | 10.0¢ | $51 | — |
| Lbr90x4a0e…bac9 | Yes | 305 | 9.0¢ | $26 | New95 settled bets |
| orph3lia0xdc6a…90fc | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $18 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 19 | 90.5¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x914a…9642 | Yes | 196 | 10.2¢ | $17 | — |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 18 | 90.0¢ | $16 | — |
| MaxEnt0xcf07…c770 | Yes | 180 | 11.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 690 bets |
| libanorix0x25eb…0506 | Yes | 130 | 9.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xbd84…1292 | No | 11 | 89.4¢ | $10 | — |
| B1zz0xcd64…3081 | Yes | 120 | 9.0¢ | $10 | — |
| LazarP0x8100…3dc5 | No | 11 | 90.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xcc23…1f5a | No | 11 | 89.4¢ | $10 | — |
| crysis3330xb093…1550 | No | 10 | 89.0¢ | $9 | — |
| cr90x4b51…da79 | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 83 | 12.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xcd8a…c1fd | Yes | 83 | 12.0¢ | $7 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 62 | 12.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.47 per $100 · 30,061+ bets · updating |
| 0x2e6b…c9ac | Yes | 45 | 11.1¢ | $4 | — |
| RiftSeer0xfede…436d | Yes | 40 | 12.0¢ | $3 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 39 | 9.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| Constantine04030x744e…aa81 | Yes | 22 | 9.0¢ | $2 | — |
| man33333333x5x0x8cc2…5319 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5e49…a4f4 | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Gaflun0x6e90…3d4f | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Stabrus7770x3515…6a47 | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| supergauss0x929b…2205 | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 9 | 4.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| octoppp0xe35e…46b7 | Yes | 9 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x240e…9f68 | Yes | 8 | 12.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Gluckyklucky0x97d3…3f3c | Yes | 0 | 12.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.