Market · 3 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
5 more outcomes in this event.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ooops0xcb14…5358 | No | 372 | 70.0¢ | $322 | Break-even−$0.36 per $100 · 7,272 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 339 | 75.1¢ | $293 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | No | 315 | 81.3¢ | $272 | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 298 | 37.1¢ | $258 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 169 | 89.0¢ | $146 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| yyyyyyy0x3143…81b1 | No | 146 | 82.7¢ | $127 | Losing−$4.31 per $100 · 679 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 0 shares each side · Show
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