Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
Chance of Yes
▲ 2 pts this week
Money on this event
17 outcomes
Room to trade
3¢ between buy and sell
Ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
Full rules
As written on Polymarket for “Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?”.
§1This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
§2Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
§3Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
§4Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
§5Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
§6An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
§7Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
§8The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.