Market · 4 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 820 | 89.4¢ | $713 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 253 | 86.7¢ | $220 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Midas140x6183…3834 | No | 152 | 82.7¢ | $132 | — |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 128 | 88.2¢ | $111 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 492 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 117 | 82.0¢ | $102 | Losing−$11.36 per $100 · 30,622+ bets · updating |
| RITB1230x724d…8dea | No | 100 | 89.5¢ | $87 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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5 more outcomes in this event.