Market · 13 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictKitten0xaa02…5b9a | No | 462 | 86.4¢ | $428 | — |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 196 | 91.1¢ | $182 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| RITB1230x724d…8dea |
| No |
| 184 |
| 89.4¢ |
| $170 |
| Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 22,997 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 172 | 92.1¢ | $160 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,736 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 115 | 93.0¢ | $107 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,637 bets |
| Wetti640xa515…54d5 | No | 111 | 90.4¢ | $103 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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5 more outcomes in this event.