Market · 10 of 17 outcomes
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PredictKitten0xaa02…5b9a | No | 462 | 86.4¢ | $424 | — |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 196 | 91.1¢ | $180 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| 0x0363…cac1 |
| No |
| 184 |
| 89.4¢ |
| $169 |
| — |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 172 | 92.1¢ | $158 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,741 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 115 | 93.0¢ | $106 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,027 bets |
| Wetti640xa515…54d5 | No | 111 | 90.4¢ | $102 | — |
| lievre0xc4ba…68fa | No | 72 | 94.0¢ | $66 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 574 | 10.4¢ | $47 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 428 | 10.5¢ | $35 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 20 | 89.8¢ | $18 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| RewardsNinja0xd5be…0e42 | No | 20 | 92.9¢ | $18 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 144 | 8.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| deepsleep0x8394…8d66 | No | 12 | 83.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 368 bets |
| 0x8f5b…8430 | No | 5 | 93.0¢ | $5 | — |
| pmtosat-0x0c93…a00b | Yes | 56 | 10.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.03 per $100 · 485 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | No | 3 | 89.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 30 | 17.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0x8c07…2967 | Yes | 29 | 10.7¢ | $2 | — |
| jdkfbsbdskjbfjksq0xb119…680b | Yes | 26 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 9.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| silverstud0x3a43…67dc | Yes | 20 | 15.5¢ | $2 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 15 | 12.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 15 | 10.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x01ba…a15e | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kittycat670x808a…ef3f | No | 0 | 88.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.33 per $100 · 392 bets |
| R18helloworld0xce31…19c4 | Yes | 5 | 21.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 86fgh0x2213…e5de | Yes | 5 | 9.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.40 per $100 · 296 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 4 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 0 | 92.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | 1 | 11.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | Yes | 0 | 11.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1DVSBSTD0xeb1d…59b0 | No | 0 | 78.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.02 per $100 · 30,009+ bets · updating |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiDISNEY0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 0 | 9.7¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1 shares each side · Show
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