Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 55 | 69.9¢ | $55 | Proven+$5.82 per $100 · 7,338 bets |
| Eastassignment0xb8b0…1281 | No | 55 | 91.4¢ | $55 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 31 | 96.6¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 3 | 87.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.01 per $100 · 4,124 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 615 | 2.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 506 | 5.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.54 per $100 · 3,695 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 4 outcomes add up to 101.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.