Market · 4 of 4 outcomes
Will the US economy be in stagflation at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | No | 55 | 69.9¢ | $55 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| Eastassignment0xb8b0…1281 | No | 55 | 91.4¢ | $55 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 31 | 96.6¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 3 | 87.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.01 per $100 · 4,124 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 615 | 2.7¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 506 | 5.5¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| TheHurb--0x6334…d4a3 | Yes | 436 | 9.3¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 271 | 3.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$11.06 per $100 · 306 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 1 | 93.2¢ | $1 | — |
| giochi0xcd96…11a3 | No | 1 | 88.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 3aJlyna4ec0x756f…cb55 | No | 1 | 94.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x539b…c64f | No | 1 | 97.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.94 per $100 · 789 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 155 | 24.9¢ | $1 | New0 settled bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 143 | 27.5¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 136 | 9.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 125 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| FlashTradeOracle0xe196…0ab5 | Yes | 102 | 28.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.0x7474…cef7 | Yes | 102 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1 | 91.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| 65sfds0x783e…5a19 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 197 bets |
| Musk50x1229…df38 | Yes | 93 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 494 bets |
| 0xB16B00B50x8a7b…782f | Yes | 87 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 81 | 11.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.63 per $100 · 123,481+ bets · updating |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | 67 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| BBOBO0xebc8…88eb | Yes | 63 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Garmonbozia0x3c15…45a0 | Yes | 59 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 56 | 21.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | No | 0 | 93.6¢ | $0 | — |
| limearbs0xf331…7e96 | Yes | 52 | 6.7¢ | $0 | — |
| snail750xa238…729c | Yes | 49 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| codexUmbra0x3ba6…13d2 | Yes | 44 | 11.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 41 | 8.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | Yes | 28 | 9.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 27 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 25 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 20 | 3.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ivanzolo20040x42fa…4c09 | Yes | 20 | 0.5¢ | $0 | New45 settled bets |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | Yes | 15 | 15.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 12 | 7.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| mrblarg640x2482…fd45 | Yes | 12 | 22.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TripleTTT9990x18f0…3101 | Yes | 11 | 10.3¢ | $0 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 11 | 25.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,355 bets |
| 0xd2f1…43cd | Yes | 10 | 45.2¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9daa…9904 | Yes | 5 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| vale.glez0x70fc…88c1 | Yes | 5 | 20.8¢ | $0 | — |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| citcap0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | 5 | 8.5¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 19.8¢ | $0 | — |
| henrikh0x59c1…67cc | No | 0 | 97.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 42ds0xeda7…7b78 | Yes | 4 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Wasteroffunds0x2162…ccf7 | Yes | 3 | 30.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 51dgfd0x2baf…70ad | Yes | 3 | 11.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 229 bets |
| CompulsiveGambler0xe0f1…c4bd | No | 0 | 84.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.10 per $100 · 1,724 bets |
| 0x4bfe…9257 | Yes | 2 | 9.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 1 | 23.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 56,884 bets |
| 0x525e…0b73 | Yes | 0 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,153 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 0 | 22.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.