Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 1,538 | 34.7¢ | $415 | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 911 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 434 | 45.5¢ | $317 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 973 | 23.2¢ | $263 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | No | 250 | 35.8¢ | $183 | — |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 494 | 27.3¢ | $133 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 181 | 49.8¢ | $132 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,460 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 24 shares each side · Show
|
These 4 outcomes add up to 102.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.