Market · 2 of 4 outcomes
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 4 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 1,538 | 34.7¢ | $361 | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 911 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 434 | 45.5¢ | $332 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 1,033 | 23.2¢ | $243 | Break-even−$0.44 per $100 · 3,756 bets |
| TouchDownThana0xecfa…3c6f | No | 250 | 35.8¢ | $191 | — |
| flexibleagedbeef0xbbc5…b08b | No | 204 | 77.5¢ | $156 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 181 | 49.8¢ | $138 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,803 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 167 | 38.0¢ | $128 | Proven+$4.00 per $100 · 66,067 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 494 | 27.3¢ | $116 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 7,346 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | No | 127 | 42.8¢ | $97 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| tylerpredict0xb5c7…f2c1 | Yes | 371 | 43.1¢ | $87 | New40 settled bets |
| etudes780xdb10…ed03 | Yes | 306 | 57.2¢ | $72 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 73 | 69.0¢ | $56 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| 0x8e15…a0ee | Yes | 169 | 60.2¢ | $40 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 158 | 37.0¢ | $37 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 155 | 24.9¢ | $36 | New0 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 40 | 53.1¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,557 bets |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | Yes | 103 | 30.0¢ | $24 | New90 settled bets |
| FlashTradeOracle0xe196…0ab5 | Yes | 102 | 21.5¢ | $24 | — |
| Eastassignment0xb8b0…1281 | Yes | 100 | 32.0¢ | $24 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 98 | 47.3¢ | $23 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 82 | 28.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| laborday250x3942…22d9 | Yes | 80 | 19.8¢ | $19 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | Yes | 56 | 29.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 51 | 24.0¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,166 bets |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | Yes | 46 | 38.1¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 13 | 37.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 12 | 78.7¢ | $9 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| sleepylemur0x38e8…4275 | Yes | 40 | 22.9¢ | $9 | New10 settled bets |
| 0x765f…1508 | Yes | 37 | 34.2¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.40 per $100 · 2,565 bets |
| snail750xa238…729c | Yes | 37 | 60.2¢ | $9 | — |
| Onswaggie0x9b08…4632 | No | 11 | 38.2¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 1,656 bets |
| nottheworst20x98bd…781e | No | 10 | 46.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x29f0…b56f | No | 10 | 52.6¢ | $7 | — |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 31 | 29.0¢ | $7 | — |
| PredictionMMayr0x8f9d…5e06 | Yes | 29 | 34.1¢ | $7 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 28 | 21.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 25 | 31.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$33.48 per $100 · 563 bets |
| Airmax880x7106…1caa | Yes | 25 | 20.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 25 | 29.0¢ | $6 | — |
| codexUmbra0x3ba6…13d2 | No | 7 | 46.2¢ | $5 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 21 | 32.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,987 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 21 | 21.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,382+ bets · updating |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 19 | 25.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x5f3e…5337 | Yes | 17 | 24.0¢ | $4 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 17 | 52.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 410,964 bets |
| 0xdc1f…d243 | Yes | 16 | 37.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xff43…8a73 | No | 5 | 48.2¢ | $4 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | No | 5 | 44.6¢ | $4 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| Trashstar0x87ba…9fd1 | Yes | 10 | 62.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 9 | 58.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| 0x1828…5bcc | Yes | 9 | 24.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 3aJlyna4ec0x756f…cb55 | No | 2 | 45.2¢ | $2 | — |
| V4Mb7vN6JDACV10xceb4…f81a | Yes | 7 | 25.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 1w5am5160ltg0x9e3c…4bde | Yes | 7 | 40.8¢ | $2 | — |
| new-account-test2220xfe91…4cd3 | Yes | 7 | 33.2¢ | $2 | — |
| qifi0xd42f…1316 | No | 2 | 77.3¢ | $2 | — |
| henrikh0x59c1…67cc | No | 2 | 38.2¢ | $1 | — |
| kap21320x9652…1f28 | Yes | 5 | 21.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | Yes | 5 | 23.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$11.41 per $100 · 723 bets |
| denso0xae48…afbe | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $1 | — |
| citcap0xdebd…49f3 | Yes | 5 | 59.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 13thDukeofWybourne0xfd0c…f306 | Yes | 5 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 5 | 19.8¢ | $1 | — |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 1 | 73.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| PirateKings0x9cd2…b56f | No | 1 | 52.7¢ | $1 | — |
| cy6erpunker0x2783…8321 | Yes | 3 | 33.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 703 bets |
| kelvinn20xbf85…f7e6 | Yes | 3 | 60.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0c9b…e768 | No | 1 | 39.0¢ | $1 | — |
| thelighthouse13370x1bbd…3bed | Yes | 2 | 58.0¢ | $1 | — |
| tradingbot990x9f72…22c7 | No | 1 | 68.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x525e…0b73 | No | 1 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x4bfe…9257 | Yes | 2 | 40.2¢ | $0 | — |
| hih9990xd2fe…25d6 | Yes | 2 | 27.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x0306…a81e | No | 0 | 62.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x26b0…b22d | Yes | 1 | 19.8¢ | $0 | — |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | Yes | 1 | 26.1¢ | $0 | — |
| shinramyvn0x010d…d0e6 | Yes | 1 | 47.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 56sdfdsfs0x610e…b852 | No | 0 | 53.9¢ | $0 | — |
| FFFF30x90c5…45e6 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
| EmethN1l23670xbdf9…7083 | No | 0 | 71.0¢ | $0 | — |
| okongwoo20xebd2…87f8 | Yes | 0 | 59.3¢ | $0 | — |
| lizlocks0x8b1c…1ec7 | No | 0 | 49.1¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 73.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | No | 0 | 43.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | No | 0 | 45.0¢ | $0 | — |
| YYDDD0x96a2…a1a7 | No | 0 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| lihood912110xb31b…b140 | No | 0 | 58.1¢ | $0 | — |
| hailimian0xd987…9381 | No | 0 | 44.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | No | 0 | 74.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.