Market · 3 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 2,400 | 89.0¢ | $1.94K | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,982 bets |
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 3,220 | 11.4¢ | $612 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,520 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 698 | 89.8¢ | $565 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 100 | 91.0¢ | $81 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| harrisjasmine0xb819…6a03 | No | 11 | 84.0¢ | $9 | — |
| mtm1010xa6d1…bd47 | No | 11 | 90.6¢ | $9 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 11 outcomes add up to 105.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Bitcoin price · Oct 15 · 2 events · $17K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.