Market · 8 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 18:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 410 | 99.1¢ | $406 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 24,646 bets |
| DXMfE1CTkJ8fRps6yiEuTbeMyWzJ80x4aba…f791 | No | 35 | 99.3¢ | $34 | — |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | Yes | 400 | 1.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 9,104 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | Yes | 35 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 6,969 bets |
| nothing-to-lose0xd097…60b0 | Yes | 30 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 13 | 9.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
These 11 outcomes add up to 102.1¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Bitcoin price · Oct 15 · 10 events · $17K in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.