Market · 4 of 11 outcomes
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 15?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | 3,568 | 96.8¢ | $3.48K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,429 bets |
| coconutsteaksauce0xd04e…41b8 | Yes | 500 | 93.0¢ | $488 | Losing−$3.48 per $100 · 350 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | Yes | 294 | 96.1¢ | $287 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| ADENAWER8090xef78…0b70 | Yes | 68 | 90.0¢ | $66 | — |
| 0xb6fe…7394 | No | 2,487 | 3.1¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 8,915 bets |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 1,874 | 4.8¢ | $46 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 6,907 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price · Oct 15 · 2 events · $17K in play