Market · 3 of 9 outcomes
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 07:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 55 | 70.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x36cd…89b6 | No | 75 | 31.1¢ | $26 | — |
| 0x51ae…ce30 | Yes | 38 | 72.0¢ | $25 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 36 | 71.1¢ | $24 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB0x9a46…1d99 | No | 48 | 12.0¢ | $16 | — |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 22 | 69.0¢ | $15 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 14 | 74.0¢ | $9 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 20 | 29.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 20 | 29.0¢ | $7 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 9 | 74.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 27.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 27.0¢ | $3 | — |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 5 | 88.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| prizr0x1ed8…afb6 | Yes | 5 | 37.0¢ | $3 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
2-Year Treasury Yield · October 2026 · 1 event · $3.91K in play