Market · 6 of 8 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4sales0x9539…267b | No | 283 | 71.5¢ | $240 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 252 | 68.9¢ | $214 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 212 |
| 66.1¢ |
| $180 |
| Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 802 | 30.2¢ | $120 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 140 | 82.5¢ | $119 | — |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 120 | 63.3¢ | $102 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |