Market · 4 of 8 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vagabund970xa53b…4021 | No | 266 | 64.6¢ | $188 | — |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | No | 197 | 61.0¢ | $139 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 |
| Yes |
| 461 |
| 40.9¢ |
| $136 |
| Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | No | 133 | 59.6¢ | $94 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | No | 90 | 49.4¢ | $63 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 40 | 49.0¢ | $28 | — |