Market · 3 of 8 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | Yes | 406 | 56.7¢ | $177 | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | No | 267 | 45.0¢ | $151 | Positive |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 170 | 43.0¢ | $96 | — |
| johnashbough0xef13…63d9 | No | 102 | 48.7¢ | $57 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | No | 100 | 34.1¢ | $56 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,373 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 100 | 41.0¢ | $56 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,039 bets |