Market · 6 of 8 outcomes
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4sales0x9539…267b | No | 283 | 71.5¢ | $246 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 252 | 68.9¢ | $219 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| almosthere0xbd2b…1a1b | No | 212 | 66.1¢ | $185 | Positive+$6.09 per $100 · 137 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 140 | 82.5¢ | $122 | — |
| HDGB0x2e3e…abea | No | 120 | 63.3¢ | $104 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 1,077 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 802 | 30.2¢ | $104 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 122,975+ bets · updating |
| 0x5ae3…2aeb | No | 85 | 73.0¢ | $74 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | No | 70 | 71.6¢ | $61 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,373 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 65 | 72.1¢ | $56 | — |
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | Yes | 294 | 32.1¢ | $38 | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| MrYanDao0x468b…68a5 | No | 19 | 65.8¢ | $17 | — |
| mavsgseguritas0x5768…3bae | No | 13 | 71.3¢ | $11 | — |
| ddadsf0x9d17…c777 | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $9 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | No | 10 | 82.0¢ | $9 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 43 | 21.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 40 | 32.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 5 | 78.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 30 | 33.0¢ | $4 | — |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | Yes | 29 | 32.0¢ | $4 | — |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | Yes | 29 | 32.0¢ | $4 | — |
| hithitfar0xe53c…e569 | No | 4 | 63.6¢ | $4 | Proven+$7.52 per $100 · 3,961 bets |
| tiongbu0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | 20 | 33.0¢ | $3 | — |
| financegaaaydog0xe2a3…8e01 | No | 2 | 70.0¢ | $2 | — |
| PerformSleepState0xbdad…3ef7 | No | 2 | 61.2¢ | $2 | — |
| ConsensusOfCredibleReporting0x0275…b936 | Yes | 6 | 21.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hgr10xab89…98e0 | No | 1 | 73.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 76.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 0 | 77.9¢ | $0 | — |
| UpTheStairs0x8bac…5b0e | No | 0 | 80.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | Yes | 0 | 28.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.12 per $100 · 9,353 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.