Market · 7 of 12 outcomes
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 174 | 99.4¢ | $174 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| FlashTradeOracleTester0xa912…297f | No | 47 | 99.9¢ | $47 | — |
| marli90x2b86…ab1d | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| thatscool0x3d0c…1979 | No | 10 | 99.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x7777…67f0 | Yes | 18,000 | 0.1¢ | $9 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 13,109 | 1.3¢ | $7 | Positive+$5.61 per $100 · 87,306 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 12,166 | 0.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| nilgf0x895c…5f44 | No | 6 | 99.8¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x5016…017d | Yes | 11,000 | 0.1¢ | $6 | — |
| qicheng0x4ede…16f4 | No | 5 | 99.8¢ | $5 | — |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 5 | 99.1¢ | $5 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 8,695 | 1.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,620 bets |
| b35f0x280a…afc6 | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 3 | 94.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x2271…7e43 | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x3408…ab7c | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xbcdc…9ecf | Yes | 6,000 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 08470x58e0…2f6f | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,147 | 1.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.89 per $100 · 53,017+ bets · updating |
| 0x1f49…24fc | Yes | 4,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1 | Yes | 3,847 | 1.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,720 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| e7290xcbc7…a086 | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 3,533 | 1.3¢ | $2 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,238 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,406 bets |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 3,227 | 1.4¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| 0x583a…d84e | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x85a2…0941 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xe145…98d9 | Yes | 3,000 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 2,979 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.63 per $100 · 3,766 bets |
| eafe0xf273…2210 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| sadpersone0x8c11…1a93 | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x805a…7cf8 | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac95…acdf | Yes | 2,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.86 per $100 · 10,069 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 1,987 | 0.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.96 per $100 · 18,815 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 1,540 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 1,500 | 1.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| LODDO0x8dfc…f414 | Yes | 1,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| smallreceipt0x942e…be27 | Yes | 1,479 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 1,335 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 1,217 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| mehanizator0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | 1,023 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.89 per $100 · 8,678 bets |
| wizardsmagic0x18de…1f14 | Yes | 1,017 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x052d…b892 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2525…e529 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x63de…c689 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x745e…b1cc | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x75b2…a3a7 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xa08c…6a83 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xbf8a…a44a | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcfc1…eb97 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf94b…a36a | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 999 | 1.2¢ | $0 | New0 settled bets |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | Yes | 935 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | Yes | 824 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| tamalaile0x1e69…e777 | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 767 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 9,359 bets |
| graynotebook190xcfff…673d | Yes | 747 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| mildwindow270x9f20…12c3 | Yes | 743 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 647 | 1.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 594 | 0.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| rated0xa3ad…6866 | Yes | 564 | 1.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 18,156 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 555 | 1.3¢ | $0 | — |
| EdwardLewis0xebc0…fa41 | No | 0 | 99.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 28,021 bets |
| RidelFishing0x061d…0dd3 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 99 events · $6.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 12 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.