Market · 12 of 23 outcomes
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:18 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 2,667 | 88.8¢ | $2.31K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,102 bets |
| Hellboy-winner0x6045…7304 | No | 200 | 84.0¢ | $173 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e |
| Yes |
| 1,206 |
| 20.2¢ |
| $163 |
| Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 186 | 83.0¢ | $161 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 113 | 86.0¢ | $98 | — |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 100 | 66.0¢ | $87 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 20 shares each side · Show
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11 more outcomes in this event.