Market · 3 of 23 outcomes
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 08:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
11 more outcomes in this event.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader |
|---|
| Side |
|---|
| Shares |
|---|
| Bought at |
|---|
| Worth now |
|---|
| Record |
|---|
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 888 | 52.0¢ | $511 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 1,000 | 50.2¢ | $425 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,107 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 691 | 50.2¢ | $294 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,285 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 429 | 55.1¢ | $246 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 488 bets |
| 0x24321322b33abD6850aC01b7EDE42110x2132…7657 | No | 365 | 58.2¢ | $210 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 221 bets |
| AiBird0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | 490 | 48.9¢ | $208 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 14,399 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.